BACKGROUND Enteric infectious diseases claim more than 1 million lives annually and are among the top ten causes of death in children younger than 5 years. Remarkable global investment has been dedicated to enteric infectious disease prevention and control; however, the shifting global health landscape is testing the continuance of progress. To evaluate the current status and guide future interventions, we present the latest epidemiological estimates of enteric infectious diseases from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 and assess progress towards the Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea (GAPPD) mortality target of fewer than 20 deaths per 100 000 children younger than 5 years by 2025. METHODS We quantified the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of enteric infectious diseases by age, sex, and year across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. In GBD 2023, the following were considered under the category of enteric infectious diseases: diarrhoeal diseases, enteric fever (typhoid and paratyphoid), invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella spp (iNTS) infections, and other intestinal infectious diseases. We also examined 15 aetiologies contributing to diarrhoeal diseases. Incidence and prevalence were estimated with DisMod-MR (version 2.1), a Bayesian meta-regression tool, drawing on data from systematic reviews, population-based surveys, claims data, and hospital sources. Cause-specific mortality was modelled with Cause of Death Ensemble Modelling based on data from sources including vital registration, mortality surveillance, verbal autopsy, and minimally invasive tissue sampling. Years of life lost and years lived with disability were computed and combined to derive DALYs. For aetiology-specific estimation, population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for 15 pathogens were derived with a counterfactual framework. Point estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated from 250 draws from the posterior distribution. FINDINGS In 2023, enteric infectious diseases resulted in an estimated 1·27 million (95% UI 0·963-1·68) deaths globally, declining from 3·69 million (3·04-4·56) in 1990. The global age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 74·1 (62·0-92·9) per 100 000 population to 16·4 (12·6-21·3) per 100 000 population during the same period. Diarrhoeal diseases accounted for most deaths in 2023 (1·11 million [0·811-1·54]), followed by enteric fever and iNTS. South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remained the most affected regions in 2023, with 599 000 (441 000-882 000) and 501 000 (373 000-648 000) deaths due to enteric infectious diseases, respectively, predominantly from diarrhoeal disease. Rotavirus was the leading cause of all-age diarrhoeal disease deaths (PAF 16·3% [12·0-21·5]), followed by norovirus (10·2% [2·4-17·0]) and Shigella spp (9·3% [5·4-15·2]). Among children younger than 5 years, PAFs of deaths due to diarrhoeal diseases were 40·2% (32·5-48·5) for rotavirus, 24·0% (15·1-36·7) for Shigella spp, and 23·4% (13·7-34·3) for adenovirus. Across 204 countries and territories, 141 met the GAPPD mortality target in 2023. The driving aetiologies among countries that did not meet the target in 2023 varied slightly by GBD super-region, but the highest or second-highest number of deaths in children younger than 5 years were consistently attributed to rotavirus. Astrovirus and sapovirus, newly included in GBD 2023, were responsible for 24 600 (6290-49 000) and 18 800 (4650-44 400) deaths, respectively, in 2023, mainly in children younger than 5 years. INTERPRETATION Our findings show that mortality and ASMRs of enteric infectious diseases declined substantially between 1990 and 2023. This decline is consistent with the expansion of public health measures and broader socioeconomic development. However, the burden in 2023 remains considerably high, with the highest mortality concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. Considering that more than a quarter of all countries had yet to meet the GAPPD mortality target in 2023, sustained efforts are needed to address the persistent burden in affected countries and to adapt to the changing global health landscape. FUNDING Gates Foundation.
Primary hypothermia arises from prolonged exposure to low environmental temperatures without underlying pathology, whereas secondary hypothermia is triggered by impaired thermoregulation due to factors such as disease, trauma, or substance use. This study aimed to investigate core temperature changes in rats exposed to specific water temperatures over time, with a focus on differentiating primary and secondary hypothermia induced by alcohol and benzodiazepines.Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan–Meier survival curves to compare the time to event (in minutes) among three experimental groups: Control, ethanol, and Diazepam. Core temperatures were recorded at five key points: baseline (normal temperature), post-ketamine anesthesia, during immersion, at hypothermia onset, and at the time of death. Survival times were also recorded and statistically analyzed. Median survival times were highest in the control group (35 minutes), followed by Diazepam (29 minutes) and ethanol (28 minutes). Pairwise comparisons using the log-rank test, adjusted for multiple comparisons via the Benjamini-Hochberg method, revealed a statistically significant difference between the control and diazepam groups (p = 0.018), with the control group demonstrating longer survival time. A significant interaction between Diazepam and time was observed (β = -0.23, 95% CI: -0.35 to -0.12, p < 0.001), indicating that the rate of temperature decline over time was significantly greater in the Diazepam group compared to the control group. Our results indicate that Diazepam accelerates the decrease in body temperature over time, which may contribute to its observed effect on survival, and that Diazepam administration is associated with a significant reduction in survival time compared with untreated controls. Ethanol did not significantly alter the measured thermoregulatory or survival outcomes in this pilot study. Any potential forensic relevance of ethanol-induced hypothermia remains speculative and requires further investigation in larger, adequately powered studies. Our results could have potential forensic implications in differentiating between primary and drug-induced as secondary hypothermia in medico-legal investigations.
Climate change significantly affects human physiology and contributes to increased morbidity and mortality, with heat stress representing one of the most severe consequences of thermal imbalance. The aim of this study was to analyze morphological changes to leukocytes on the peripheral blood smears of Wistar rats exposed to hyperthermia using the geometric morphometrics method. A total of forty Wistar albino rats were divided into three experimental groups according to water temperature exposure (37 °C, 41 °C, and 44 °C). Peripheral blood smears were prepared, stained, and digitally recorded using Motic Images Plus 2.0 software, after which selected images were analyzed using geometric morphometric programs (tpsDig, tpsUtil, and MorphoJ) to evaluate leukocyte shape variations. Comparative analysis demonstrated statistically significant morphological changes in polymorphonuclear cell shapes between the control group (37 °C) and rats exposed to 41 °C (p = 0.009). Significant differences were also identified in mononuclear cell morphology between the antemortem and postmortem groups (p = 0.00307). The findings indicate that exposure to elevated temperatures induces measurable alterations in white blood cell morphology, confirming that hyperthermia produces significant structural changes in polymorphonuclear cells and mononuclear cells detectable through geometric morphometric analysis.
Background/Objectives: Accurate post-mortem interval (PMI) estimation becomes increasingly difficult when bodies decompose under extreme heat. Hyperthermal Mediterranean environments accelerate soft-tissue degradation, induce early mummification, and distort classical thanatological indicators, often resulting in substantial PMI overestimation. This study analyzes three forensic cases affected by climate-driven decomposition anomalies and presents a climate-adaptive, AI-assisted diagnostic framework applied uniformly across all cases to improve PMI interpretation. Methods: A retrospective case series analysis was conducted on three individuals recovered during summer heatwaves. Crime scene investigation, post-mortem computed tomography (PMCT), autopsy, and genetic identification were integrated with 5–15-year meteorological datasets. Classical PMI estimations were compared with circumstantial data. A multimodal AI model, incorporating environmental features, decomposition morphology, and microenvironmental modifiers, was operationalized for each case using a hybrid Random Forest–LSTM architecture. Engineered indices included Accumulated Degree Days (ADD), a Decomposition Index, and climate-stress metrics (Thermal Load Index, Desiccation Pressure Factor, Microenvironmental Distortion Coefficient). Quantile regression provided calibrated prediction intervals. Results: Morphological assessments overestimated PMI in every case, suggesting intervals of 1–6 months despite true PMIs of approximately 20 days (Cases 1–2) or 36–48 h (Case 3). The AI model yielded conceptual outputs more consistent with verified PMIs, ~21 days (Case 1), ~23 days (Case 2), and ~42 h (Case 3), each accompanied by 50% and 90% prediction intervals. Explainability analyses identified thermal load, desiccation pressure, and microenvironmental distortion, particularly insulation in Case 3, as dominant drivers. Conclusions: Extreme heat fundamentally alters decomposition trajectories, rendering classical PMI methods unreliable. Applying a climate-aware, AI-assisted diagnostic framework across all three cases improved interpretability, providing uncertainty-aware estimates aligned with true PMIs. The AI framework is presented as a conceptual, non-trained, proof-of-concept system, and reported outputs represent operational demonstrations rather than validated predictions, offering a promising foundation for next-generation PMI diagnostics in hyperthermal forensic settings.
BACKGROUND The 2023 iteration of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimated prevalence, incidence, and health burden for 375 diseases and injuries, including 12 mental disorders. We assess past, current, and emerging trends in the prevalence and burden of mental disorders across sexes and age groups, for 21 regions, 204 countries and territories, and by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, from 1990 to 2023. METHODS Mental disorders included in GBD 2023 were anxiety disorders, major depressive disorder, dysthymia, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, autism spectrum disorders, conduct disorder, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, idiopathic developmental intellectual disability, and a residual category of other mental disorders. A literature review identified epidemiological data for each disorder. These were analysed via a Bayesian meta-regression to estimate prevalence by disorder, sex, age, location, and year. Disorder-specific prevalence was multiplied by disability weights representing the severity of health loss associated with each disorder to estimate years lived with disability (YLDs). Deaths due to anorexia nervosa were assessed with a Cause of Death Ensemble modelling strategy to estimate deaths by sex, age, location, and year, and then multiplied by the standard life expectancy at age of death to estimate years of life lost (YLLs). YLDs equalled disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for all mental disorders except anorexia nervosa (the only mental disorder considered as an underlying cause of death in GBD), for which DALYs represented the sum of YLDs and YLLs. We presented prevalence, deaths, YLDs, YLLs, and DALYs as counts, age-specific rates per 100 000 population, and age-standardised rates per 100 000 population. FINDINGS We estimated 1·17 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1·06-1·31) prevalent cases of mental disorders globally in 2023, equivalent to an age-standardised prevalence rate of 14 210·7 cases (12 849·5-15 940·1) per 100 000 population. These estimates represented a 95·5% (75·0-121·2) increase in prevalent cases and 24·2% (11·4-41·4) increase in age-standardised prevalence rate between 1990 and 2023. All mental disorders showed increases in prevalent cases between 1990 and 2023, while notable increases were seen in age-standardised prevalence rates for anxiety disorders, major depressive disorder, dysthymia, anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, schizophrenia, and conduct disorder. There were an estimated 171 million (127-228) DALYs due to mental disorders globally across sex and age in 2023, equivalent to an age-standardised DALY rate of 2070·5 DALYs (1519·1-2750·5) per 100 000 population. Mental disorders contributed to 6·1% (4·8-7·6) of all-cause DALYs in 2023, making them the fifth leading cause of global DALYs (up from 12th in 1990). DALYs were almost entirely composed of YLDs. Mental disorders were the leading cause of YLDs in 2023 (up from second in 1990), explaining 17·3% (14·8-20·6) of all-cause global YLDs. Leading causes of mental disorder DALYs were anxiety disorders (ranked 11th among the 304 diseases and injuries at Level 4 of the GBD cause hierarchy), major depressive disorder (15th), and schizophrenia (41st). Globally in 2023, mental disorder age-standardised DALY rates were higher among females (2239·6 [1643·7-3014·1] per 100 000) than among males (1900·2 [1399·8-2510·8] per 100 000), and peaked in the 15-19 years age group (2617·3 [1850·6-3696·8] per 100 000). All locations showed increased mental disorder DALY rates in 2023 compared with 1990, ranging across countries and territories from 1302·4 (952·7-1683·7) per 100 000 in Viet Nam to 3555·8 (2661·9-4715·0) per 100 000 in the Netherlands. Across SDI quintiles, DALY rates ranged from 1853·0 (1352·1-2469·3) per 100 000 for middle SDI to 2184·1 (1606·1-2890·3) per 100 000 for high SDI. INTERPRETATION A significant health burden was imposed by mental disorders in all countries and territories in 2023, irrespective of the health resources available. In some instances, this burden has increased over time and is unevenly distributed across populations. Stronger surveillance systems, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries, are required. Additionally, we need more coordinated and inclusive policies to reduce the burden through early treatment and prevention, tailored to sex and age differences across locations. Responding to the mental health needs of our global population, especially those most vulnerable, is an obligation, not a choice. FUNDING Gates Foundation, Queensland Health, and University of Queensland.
Chronic inflammatory diseases and autoimmune diseases are overlapping but distinct immune-mediated disorders that represent a growing worldwide health concern, characterised by persistent inflammation, tissue damage, and progressive organ dysfunction. In the United States alone, more than $180 billion is spent annually on managing these conditions, yet fewer than 10% of patients achieve long-term remission. These figures highlight the limitations of conventional therapies, which often control symptoms rather than adequately modify the underlying disease process. This review provides a focused and comparative overview of emerging therapeutic strategies across representative immune-mediated disorders, with particular emphasis on mesenchymal stem cells, Janus kinase-signal transducer and activator of transcription (JAK-STAT) inhibitors, chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapies, therapeutic vaccines, microbiome-modulating interventions, and nanotechnology-based drug delivery systems. In parallel, artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly contributing to biomarker discovery, drug repurposing, and treatment stratification, thereby supporting the development of predictive and personalised medicine. Overall, these advances support a shift toward mechanism-based, multimodal, and more durable treatment strategies, although further clinical validation remains necessary.
Abusive head trauma (AHT), is considered a leading cause of fatalities resulting from physical abuse in infants under 2 years of age, with a peak incidence between 1 and 2 months after birth. The incidence of AHT ranges from 14 to approximately 40 cases per 100,000 children in industrialized countries with a mortality rate ranging from 10 to 20%. The absence of internationally recognized best practices or guidelines especially in the field of forensic medicine has resulted in methodological variability in the management of these cases across different settings. In response to this gap, a comparative working group involving experts from Italy and the Balkan countries was established, leading to the creation of a shared discussion platform. The aim of this collaborative effort was to identify strengths and critical issues in the forensic handling of abusive head trauma, ultimately with the goal of developing a shared workflow chart for the management of these complex cases within the network.
Acute abdominal pain (AAP) constitutes a frequent presenting complaint in the emergency department (ED). Distinguishing between mild and potentially life-threatening cases requires a structured approach and effective triage. This study aimed to describe the main nontraumatic causes of AAP, assess urgency, and analyze case distribution by age and gender, as well as admission and discharge patterns. All records of adult patients presenting with abdominal pain between August and December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The entire patient sample ( n = 257) was classified into 15 different diagnostic groups. From the total count of patients, n = 257, there were 154 females (59.92%) and 103 males (40.08%). According to our study, the leading cause of AAP was renal colic ( n = 67; 26.07%), followed by nonspecific abdominal pain (NSAP) ( n = 48, 18.68%), urinary tract infections (UTIs) ( n = 38, 14.79%), and biliary colic and cholecystitis ( n = 32, 12.45%). In terms of hospitalization, 195 patients (75.88%) were discharged, and 62 patients (24.12%) were admitted. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the likelihood of hospitalization was approximately twofold higher in males (odds ratio [OR] = 2.03), whereas females exhibited a reduced probability (OR = 0.49). A higher proportion of AAP cases was observed among females in our ED sample, with renal colic, NSAP, UTI, and biliary disorders being the most common diagnoses. A high discharge rate (75.9%) reflects that most AAP cases were non-emergent; however, careful triage remains essential, particularly in male patients due to their higher admission risk.
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