Climate change effects on crop yields in Serbia and related shifts of Köppen climate zones under the SRES‐A1B and SRES‐A2
We considered shifts in the Köppen climate zones and the corresponding impact on the crop yields in Serbia by comparing (1) the results of downscaling with the ECMWF Hamburg Atmospheric Model 5 (ECHAM5) and regional Eta Belgrade University (EBU)‐Princeton Ocean Model (POM) model for the A1B and A2 scenarios over 2001–2030 and 2071–2100 and (2) the present climate simulations for the period 1961−1990. We analyzed the EBU‐POM regional climate model complexity by calculating the corresponding metrics. The yields of winter wheat, maize and soybeans were evaluated with the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model.