C-reactive Protein and Biliary Complications as Independent Predictors of Hospital Stay in Acute Cholecystitis
Background Acute cholecystitis (AC) is a frequent surgical emergency associated with significant variability in clinical outcomes and hospital length of stay (LOS). Early identification of patients at risk for prolonged hospitalization can improve triage and resource planning. Inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), and total bilirubin (TBil), along with biliary complications like choledocholithiasis and Mirizzi syndrome, may have prognostic value. Materials and methods This retrospective study included 150 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for AC at the Department of General and Abdominal Surgery, University Clinical Centre Tuzla, Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina, between January 1, 2024, and January 31, 2025. Demographic, laboratory, and intraoperative data were collected. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified optimal cut-offs for inflammatory markers predicting prolonged LOS (≥7 days). Multivariate linear regression was used to assess independent predictors, including CRP, WBC, TBil, and intraoperative findings. Results We found that CRP was significantly higher in patients with prolonged LOS and demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.733 (95% CI: 0.630-0.835), followed by TBil and WBC. In multivariate analysis, only CRP ≥110.5 mg/L (p<0.001), the presence of choledocholithiasis in 26 patients (17.3%; p=0.010), and Mirizzi syndrome in seven patients (4.7%; p=0.017) remained significant predictors. WBC and TBil lost significance after adjustment. Conclusion CRP is the most reliable independent laboratory predictor of prolonged LOS in AC. The presence of choledocholithiasis and Mirizzi syndrome further contributes to extended hospitalization. These factors should be considered in early clinical risk assessment.